The Final Stock Contest

Remember [link]Yet Another Stock Contest? Well, I guess we were a little (a little??) optimistic. Even for our next attempt, [link]And Yet Another Stock Contest, it seems rather unlikely that we'll have a winner soon.Let's try again, with a really realistic target.

The Rules

The goal of this contest is to guess on what day the CATP stock price will first reach $1. (Note: this is from above, i.e. the stock price must be $1 or lower!)
If there is a stock split after 1 December 2000 (sure, why not), this contest will be adjusted accordingly, i.e. if there is a 2 to 1 split, the contest is over when the price reaches $0.50. Similarly, if the stock reverse splits 1 to 3, we need to reach $3.

(Now that Novell has taken over CTP, this means that the NOVL stock price will need to reach $1.497. It's been close already, but not quite there...)

Anybody can enter the contest once. (You are kindly requested not to enter the contest under somebody else's name.)
You may enter the contest, or change your entry at any time.

The Prize

The Grand Prize of this contest will be Eternal Fame®. That's way better than a T-shirt, isn't it? ;-)


Sorry, too many spammers.

The Situation (as of 20 Sep 2020)

If the stock price would reach $1 today, the winner would be: Aad Nales.

The Entries

User ID Name Email Date # Days Comments Last Change # Chgs
mday Michael Day 1 Jan 2000 7568 15 Nov 2004
GChen George Chen [email] 15 Feb 2000 7523 After 4Q00 revenue announcment 10 Dec 2000
sfranz Susan Franz [email] 18 Mar 2000 7491 8 Dec 2000
cmill Craig Miller [email] 26 Dec 2000 7208 Tax-loss selling before year end - gotta get some good out of it? 8 Dec 2000
mscha Michael Schaap [email] 2 Jan 2001 7201 The real question - when will it hit $0? 8 Dec 2000
bill.h Bill Hughes [email] 1 Feb 2001 7171 Either will announce more anemic earnings / growth -- or a 2-for-1 stock split! ;-) 14 Dec 2000
rdela Rory dela Paz [email] 16 Mar 2001 7128 The day before St. Patty's day! Maybe I will start drinking then... 8 Dec 2000
rwall Rob Wall [email] 22 Dec 2001 6847 Let's pool our money together and buy the company! 9 Dec 2000
pou peewee [email] 1 Jan 2002 6837 I'm good 2 Nov 2001
twosix S.D. Martin [email] 4 Apr 2002 6744 cuz 15 Mar 2002
pdrap Patrick Draper [email] 7 Oct 2002 6558 I miss all my former co-worker at CTP, except for (you know who the hell you are) 23 Feb 2001
ML Michiel L. [email] 11 Oct 2002 6554 Wonder whether Alex will read this :-) Yep it's me. Look at the date.... This will be the day ! 18 Jun 2002
BD Bertus Dispa [email] 10 May 2006 5247 Actually I believe it will be 1 EUR as I think the USA will drop ther USD for the Euro by 5 MAR 2003 (another contest?). Good to see youre all still alive and involved!) 27 Dec 2001
juykim112 Junyoung Kim [email] 27 Nov 2008 4315 always that month does well 15 Jul 2007
Williams4992 Pat Williams [email] 1 Jan 2009 4280 None 26 Dec 2008 Aad Nales [email] 7 Dec 2030 3730 I turn 65 that day, I hope CATP does a lot earlier. Dutch joke: The only stock that is more depressed is Ajax! 10 Dec 2000
dhazel Doug Hazelman [email] 1 Jan 2099 28592 UM, CATP doesn't even exist anymore ;-) Should this be adjusted for NOVL? 9 Feb 2004

There are 17 entries. The earliest date chosen is 1 January 2000, by Michael Day (pessimist!), the last date chosen is 1 January 2099, by Doug Hazelman (optimist!). The mean date is 13 January 2010, the median date is 1 January 2002, the midrange date is 2 July 2049.

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